Russia and Japan have technically been at warfare with one another for nearly 80 years. The US is the principle roadblock to a peace treaty
“Give back the Northern Territories! You’re illegally occupying our land!” Every 12 months, on February 7, slogans like this blare out by way of loudspeakers reverse the Russian embassy in Japan. This is the day when Japan celebrates the so-called Northern Territories Day.” This refers to what Russia calls the Southern Kurils – Iturup, Kunashir, Shikotan, and Habomai Islands, – which turned a part of the Soviet Union after World War 2.
In 2022, a protest staged by rightwing radicals started a day early and resulted in unrest. According to Russian diplomats, “a bunch of militant younger males” tried to interrupt into the embassy premises and fought with police securing the doorway. The subsequent day, on February 7, Prime Minister Fumio Kishida addressed a nationwide rally in Tokyo calling for the return of the Northern Territories.
This 12 months has been no exception. Far-right activists once more staged a rally outdoors the constructing, making a detour across the perimeter of the block in vans and utilizing loudspeakers to shout their calls for for the return of the islands. Â
In addition, for the primary time since 2018, the phrase “illegal occupation” was included within the assertion that’s historically learn out on the finish of the annual ‘National Rally for the Return of the Northern Territories’.
Tokyo ties the Kuril Islands dispute with one other concern that has been souring relations with Moscow for nearly 78 years – the absence of a peace treaty between the 2 capitals after World War Two. On March 21, 2022, Russia exited the negotiation course of with Japan, which had been gaining momentum because the finish of the Cold War. The Russian Foreign Ministry acknowledged it was unattainable to carry such discussions with a state that “displays an openly unfriendly position and attempts to damage the interests of our country.” This got here after Tokyo positioned sanctions on Moscow.Â
The Southern Kuril Islands are a really beneficial asset. The Catherine and Vries Straits are the one year-round ice-free hyperlinks between the Sea of Okhotsk and the Pacific Ocean. Additionally, the Sea of Okhotsk could be thought-about an inner sea of the Russian Federation, thus stopping another nation from fishing or extracting mineral assets there with out Moscow’s permission. The space across the Southern Kuril Islands boasts wealthy fishing grounds, the place the USSR used to catch most of its Japanese pilchard and Pacific saury. Iturup has one of many world’s largest deposits of rhenium, a remarkably uncommon steel. A serious underwater hydrocarbon deposit has been found off the coast of the Lesser Kuril Chain, with reserves within the Mid-Kuril Oil and Gas Basin estimated at 300 million tons.
 Wikipedia
Pursuing sanctions and Kurils
What little hope there was to signal a peace treaty ended after Tokyo’s response to Russia’s navy operation in Ukraine. Maria Zakharova, the Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman, has counted 15 packages of particular person and sectoral sanctions imposed by Japan over this time. “Sometimes Japan was even overzealous, rushing new sanctions before its Western allies,” she added.
Any hypothetical resumption of talks can solely occur after the entire disaster round Ukraine is resolved, Vladimir Nelidov, an affiliate professor of Eastern Studies at MGIMO, instructed RT.
This concern is a part of the larger context of the relations between Russia and the West, that are presently concerned in a confrontation,” he stated.
Although situated off Asia’s Pacific Coast, Japan coordinates its insurance policies with its allies within the West.
Valery Kistanov, Head of the Center for Japanese Studies on the Russian Academy of Sciences’ Institute of China and Contemporary Asia, instructed RT:
“A peace treaty is very unlikely in the foreseeable future, I’m not even sure the next generations will live to see it. Relations with Japan are so bad now, a peace treaty is not on the table. Prime Minister Fumio Kishida is still talking about his willingness to keep negotiating, even though Japan is one of the global leaders in this whole anti-Russian business. I’m certain that this course will remain for decades or even centuries to come. Russia can’t abide by that.”
Meanwhile, Japan appears decided to proceed sustaining sanctions stress on Russia. In the most recent package deal up to now, it banned exports of vaccines, medical gear, and robots and expanded sanctions towards people. In response, Moscow put Japan on the checklist of unfriendly nations, suspended peace talks, and stopped joint financial actions on the Kuril Islands and visa-free journey for Japanese residents to the Kuril Islands final 12 months. In 2023, Russia adopted up by refusing to carry annual talks with Japan over fishing close to the islands below a 1998 treaty.
“Essentially, the only thing left is the energy bridge. Japan decided not to quit the Sakhalin-1 and Sakhalin-2 projects because it badly needs resources, and there is no alternative. Otherwise, Japan’s whole energy sector will go under,” Kistanov says. According to him, in all different respects, the nations’ relations have floor to a halt.

US President Joe Biden poses for pictures with Japanese Prime Minister Kishida Fumio after his arrival on the White House on January 13, 2023 in Washington, DC.
 Chip Somodevilla / Getty Images
Approved by Churchill and RooseveltÂ
The settlement to provide the Kuril Islands and the southern a part of Sakhalin to the USSR was reached on the Yalta Conference attended by Joseph Stalin, Franklin Roosevelt, and Winston Churchill, in February 1945. The USSR, in its flip, pledged to affix the warfare on the japanese entrance no later than two or three months after defeating Nazi Germany. The Southern Kurils have been taken by Soviet forces in August-September 1945 and formally declared part of the USSR a 12 months later.
Japan confirmed that it renounced all claims to the Kuril Islands and South Sakhalin when it signed the Treaty of San Francisco, but the textual content of the treaty drafted by the US and Great Britain neither stated who it renounced these territories to, nor listed the names of the particular islands. Nevertheless, Tokyo gave up the flexibility to have a say in the way forward for the territories as a result of all the 48 treaty signatory states might then additionally lay declare to them.
Those provisions and the absence of the People’s Republic of China on the convention led the Soviet delegation to refuse to signal the Peace Treaty of San Francisco.
At first, it will seem that Japan was resigned to shedding the territories. Kumao Nishimura, chief of the Treaty Bureau of the Japanese Foreign Ministry, described the lack of Kunashir and Iturup within the Japanese parliament as a fait accompli. However, Washington, which was waging a chilly warfare towards Moscow by that point, was bent on making a territorial downside for its competitor. When discussing the treaty, the US Senate adopted a decision which refused to just accept any Soviet rights or claims to territories that belonged to Japan on December 7, 1941, together with the Kuril Islands and even South Sakhalin.
Soon sufficient, Tokyo discovered new grounds to dispute the Southern Kurils.

Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Yoshida and members of the Japanese envoy signal the Treaty of San Francisco.
 Wikipedia
American Interference
Japan and the USSR started bilateral talks in 1956 hoping to succeed in a settlement. Tokyo’s calls for have been very formidable at first – approving Japan’s UN membership and returning all of the territories that have been below Japan’s management in 1905 after the Russo-Japanese War, together with Southern Sakhalin and all of the Kuril Islands. The Soviet Union’s proposal included giving Tokyo management over Shikotan and the Habomai Islands if Japan agreed to surrender all future territorial calls for. Shunichi Matsumoto, who represented Japan on the talks, later shared that he “couldn’t believe what he heard” at first and “greatly rejoiced”.
After a number of rounds, Japan narrowed its calls for all the way down to the 4 South Kuril Islands. Their reasoning was that traditionally these 4 islands weren’t thought-about a part of the Kurils, and subsequently weren’t lined by the Treaty of San-Francisco. This was completely in step with US pursuits, since America did not need the settlement to be damaged, however it additionally did not need the Soviet Union to have management over the 2 Kuril Islands. Washington benefited from Tokyo gaining management over all 4 islands, however the Soviet Union would not budge. Â
When Foreign Minister Mamoru Shigemitsu made his suggestion to the Japanese authorities to just accept Moscow’s proposal and comply with the switch of the 2 islands, the nation’s management did not prefer it. Deputy Cabinet Secretary Takizo Matsumoto commented, “Moscow influenced him, and the Cabinet decided to send him to London, where he could meet with the [US] Secretary of State”.
At the talks within the UK capital, the US delegation threatened their colleagues from Tokyo, reminding them that they’d no authorized rights to the Kuril Islands and couldn’t talk about their standing with the USSR. On August 19, 1956, State Secretary John Dulles instructed Shigemitsu that if an settlement between Moscow and Tokyo have been to be reached,
This thinly veiled risk, disguised as “a friendly recommendation” successfully introduced the Soviet-Japanese talks on the Kuril Islands to a halt.
The Ryukyu Islands have been seized by US troops in 1945, with its largest island, Okinawa, remaining below American management till 1972. Today, the US maintains navy bases there.
“Japan was under American pressure back in the 1950s, of course, and there is no consensus among historians to this day as to how that incident should be construed. But one thing we know for sure – the US was not interested in letting the Soviet Union normalize its relations with Japan, even if pro-US political forces in Japan were not opposed to restoring relations with the Soviets,” Vladimir Nelidov defined.
However, regardless of America’s greatest efforts, the USSR and Japan did signal a joint declaration in Moscow in 1956, formally placing an finish to the state of warfare between the 2 nations. Moreover, the Soviet Union pledged to return the Habomai Islands and Shikotan to Japan, however solely after a peace treaty was signed.
This beneficiant gesture, nonetheless, was overshadowed by the US concluding a brand new treaty of mutual cooperation and safety with Tokyo, giving it the best to determine and use navy bases on Japanese soil, in addition to deploy any variety of troops there. This virtually meant that any Soviet territories returned to Japanese jurisdiction might be used for American navy bases. Therefore, the USSR selected to annul the Joint Declaration with Japan in 1960.

First Secretary of the CPSU Central Committee and Chairman of the Council of Ministers of the USSR Nikita Khrushchev, third left, throughout a gathering with Japanese parliamentarians.
 Sputnik / Vasily Noskov
And once more, the US interferes
In concept, that is when Moscow might have ended the Kuril Islands dispute as soon as and for all. Years later, in 2018, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and President Putin agreed to renew talks based mostly on the 1956 declaration. However, the Japanese management nonetheless interpreted the doc, which solely talked about two of the 4 islands, in a really peculiar method. Tokyo would by no means abandon its plans to get again all of the 4 islands. Besides, it was not going to fulfill the requirement to acknowledge Russia’s sovereignty over the Kuril Islands.
In January 2023, throughout a press convention, Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov recalled that interval of lively negotiating, led by Prime Minister Abe:
“At some point, the Japanese said they didn’t need the “huge” peace treaty that Russia was offering… We had proposed signing a comprehensive peace treaty that would outline the principles of cooperation based on mutual respect, mutual interests, and neighborliness. The peace treaty was also supposed to cover investment, economic and humanitarian cooperation. All that was supposed to serve as a basis to define the border. The Japanese turned our proposal down saying they needed a document that’s strictly to the point, not a superfluous treaty full of rhetoric.”
According to Valery Kistanov, Putin sincerely believed {that a} peace treaty was a necessity – and that is what the diplomatic thaw throughout Abe’s time period was about. The leaders of Russia and Japan held a complete of 27 conferences, however the United States bought concerned in that too.
According to Vladimir Nelidov, after 2014, President Obama “took a stand against Russia and Japan’s cooperation.” “For instance, in 2016, Obama requested Prime Minister Abe to cancel his go to to Russia, however Abe did not pay attention.
Today, the USÂ ignores the Treaty of San-Francisco. On the event of Japan’s Northern Territories Day in 2022, US Ambassador to Japan Rahm Emanuel brazenly stated that Washington absolutely backs Tokyo.
Japan’s new authorities has made its place crystal clear and is sticking to its narrative of “four illegally occupied islands” that, in its opinion, Russia should return previous to signing a peace treaty.
Kistanov concludes, “As far as I see it, Russia doesn’t even need a peace treaty with Japan. We’ve lived for 70 years without one, and can keep on doing just that. We’ve always been accommodating and supportive of any effort to find a compromise, but Japan has never responded in the same way and I believe we shouldn’t expect it. Foreign Minister Lavrov recently quoted one expert on Japan who said, ‘should one day Japan decide that they are not getting back these four islands, it’ll join the club of Russia’s most fierce opponents.’ And that’s exactly what’s happening today.”

